Group L — WC 2026

Group L

England 4.3 ★ ↑↑

Elo rating: 2010
Confederation: UEFA
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: >99.9%
Reach Quarter-final: >99.9%
Reach Semi-final: >99.9%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Croatia 3.7 ★ →

Elo rating: 1930
Confederation: UEFA
Advance from group: Out ✗
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Ghana 2.1 ★ ↑

Elo rating: 1730
Confederation: CAF
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Panama 1.8 ★ ↓↓

Elo rating: 1700
Confederation: CONCACAF
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

England vs Croatia

Elo: 2010 vs 1930 (diff: +80)

England vs Ghana

Elo: 2010 vs 1730 (diff: +280)

England vs Panama

Elo: 2010 vs 1700 (diff: +310)

Croatia vs Ghana

Elo: 1930 vs 1730 (diff: +200)

Croatia vs Panama

Elo: 1930 vs 1700 (diff: +230)

Ghana vs Panama

Elo: 1730 vs 1700 (diff: +30)