Group I — WC 2026

Group I

France 4.8 ★ ↑↑

Elo rating: 2060
Confederation: UEFA
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: >99.9%
Reach Quarter-final: >99.9%
Reach Semi-final: >99.9%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Senegal 3.1 ★ ↓

Elo rating: 1860
Confederation: CAF
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Iraq 1.8 ★ ↓↓

Elo rating: 1700
Confederation: AFC
Advance from group: Out ✗
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Norway 3.0 ★ ↑↑

Elo rating: 1850
Confederation: UEFA
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: >99.9%
Reach Quarter-final: >99.9%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

France vs Senegal

Elo: 2060 vs 1860 (diff: +200)

France vs Iraq

Elo: 2060 vs 1700 (diff: +360)

France vs Norway

Elo: 2060 vs 1850 (diff: +210)

Senegal vs Iraq

Elo: 1860 vs 1700 (diff: +160)

Senegal vs Norway

Elo: 1860 vs 1850 (diff: +10)

Iraq vs Norway

Elo: 1700 vs 1850 (diff: -150)