Group F — WC 2026

Group F

Netherlands 4.2 ★ ↑

Elo rating: 1990
Confederation: UEFA
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Japan 3.3 ★ ↑

Elo rating: 1880
Confederation: AFC
Advance from group: Out ✗
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Sweden 2.8 ★ →

Elo rating: 1820
Confederation: UEFA
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Tunisia 2.2 ★ ↓↓

Elo rating: 1750
Confederation: CAF
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Netherlands vs Japan

Elo: 1990 vs 1880 (diff: +110)

Netherlands vs Sweden

Elo: 1990 vs 1820 (diff: +170)

Netherlands vs Tunisia

Elo: 1990 vs 1750 (diff: +240)

Japan vs Sweden

Elo: 1880 vs 1820 (diff: +60)

Japan vs Tunisia

Elo: 1880 vs 1750 (diff: +130)

Sweden vs Tunisia

Elo: 1820 vs 1750 (diff: +70)