Group C — WC 2026

Group C

Brazil 4.4 ★ →

Elo rating: 2020
Confederation: CONMEBOL
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: >99.9%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Morocco 3.5 ★ ↑↑

Elo rating: 1910
Confederation: CAF
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: >99.9%
Reach Quarter-final: >99.9%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Haiti 1.2 ★ ↓↓

Elo rating: 1620
Confederation: CONCACAF
Advance from group: Out ✗
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Scotland 2.6 ★ ↓

Elo rating: 1790
Confederation: UEFA
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Brazil vs Morocco

Elo: 2020 vs 1910 (diff: +110)

Brazil vs Haiti

Elo: 2020 vs 1620 (diff: +400)

Brazil vs Scotland

Elo: 2020 vs 1790 (diff: +230)

Morocco vs Haiti

Elo: 1910 vs 1620 (diff: +290)

Morocco vs Scotland

Elo: 1910 vs 1790 (diff: +120)

Haiti vs Scotland

Elo: 1620 vs 1790 (diff: -170)