Group A — WC 2026

Group A

Mexico 2.8 ★ ↑↑

Elo rating: 1820
Confederation: CONCACAF
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: >99.9%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

South Africa 2.0 ★ ↑

Elo rating: 1720
Confederation: CAF
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

South Korea 3.0 ★ ↓↓

Elo rating: 1840
Confederation: AFC
Advance from group: Out ✗
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Czech Republic 2.5 ★ ↓↓

Elo rating: 1780
Confederation: UEFA
Advance from group: Qualified ✓
Reach Round of 16: <0.1%
Reach Quarter-final: <0.1%
Reach Semi-final: <0.1%
Reach Final: <0.1%
🏆 Win tournament: <0.1%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Mexico vs South Africa

Elo: 1820 vs 1720 (diff: +100)

Mexico vs South Korea

Elo: 1820 vs 1840 (diff: -20)

Mexico vs Czech Republic

Elo: 1820 vs 1780 (diff: +40)

South Africa vs South Korea

Elo: 1720 vs 1840 (diff: -120)

South Africa vs Czech Republic

Elo: 1720 vs 1780 (diff: -60)

South Korea vs Czech Republic

Elo: 1840 vs 1780 (diff: +60)