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Group L

England
Elo rating
2010
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
88.7%
Reach Round of 16
56.2%
Reach Quarter-final
34.6%
Reach Semi-final
20.2%
Reach Final
11.5%
Win tournament
6.4%
Croatia
Elo rating
1930
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
81.0%
Reach Round of 16
45.9%
Reach Quarter-final
24.5%
Reach Semi-final
12.9%
Reach Final
6.5%
Win tournament
3.1%
Ghana
Elo rating
1730
Confederation
CAF
Advance from group
50.0%
Reach Round of 16
19.1%
Reach Quarter-final
7.3%
Reach Semi-final
2.6%
Reach Final
0.8%
Win tournament
0.3%
Panama
Elo rating
1700
Confederation
CONCACAF
Advance from group
44.9%
Reach Round of 16
16.4%
Reach Quarter-final
5.9%
Reach Semi-final
2.0%
Reach Final
0.6%
Win tournament
0.2%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

England vs Croatia
Elo: 2010 vs 1930 (diff: +80)
England vs Ghana
Elo: 2010 vs 1730 (diff: +280)
England vs Panama
Elo: 2010 vs 1700 (diff: +310)
Croatia vs Ghana
Elo: 1930 vs 1730 (diff: +200)
Croatia vs Panama
Elo: 1930 vs 1700 (diff: +230)
Ghana vs Panama
Elo: 1730 vs 1700 (diff: +30)