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Group K

Portugal
Elo rating
2000
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
89.1%
Reach Round of 16
54.9%
Reach Quarter-final
33.6%
Reach Semi-final
19.3%
Reach Final
10.9%
Win tournament
5.9%
DR Congo
Elo rating
1690
Confederation
CAF
Advance from group
46.1%
Reach Round of 16
15.8%
Reach Quarter-final
5.5%
Reach Semi-final
1.8%
Reach Final
0.5%
Win tournament
0.2%
Uzbekistan
Elo rating
1700
Confederation
AFC
Advance from group
47.6%
Reach Round of 16
16.5%
Reach Quarter-final
5.9%
Reach Semi-final
1.9%
Reach Final
0.6%
Win tournament
0.2%
Colombia
Elo rating
1920
Confederation
CONMEBOL
Advance from group
81.5%
Reach Round of 16
44.6%
Reach Quarter-final
24.0%
Reach Semi-final
12.5%
Reach Final
6.2%
Win tournament
2.9%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Portugal vs DR Congo
Elo: 2000 vs 1690 (diff: +310)
Portugal vs Uzbekistan
Elo: 2000 vs 1700 (diff: +300)
Portugal vs Colombia
Elo: 2000 vs 1920 (diff: +80)
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan
Elo: 1690 vs 1700 (diff: -10)
DR Congo vs Colombia
Elo: 1690 vs 1920 (diff: -230)
Uzbekistan vs Colombia
Elo: 1700 vs 1920 (diff: -220)