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Group G

Belgium
Elo rating
1960
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
90.1%
Reach Round of 16
56.8%
Reach Quarter-final
32.5%
Reach Semi-final
16.8%
Reach Final
8.9%
Win tournament
4.5%
Egypt
Elo rating
1750
Confederation
CAF
Advance from group
65.5%
Reach Round of 16
29.5%
Reach Quarter-final
11.1%
Reach Semi-final
4.0%
Reach Final
1.4%
Win tournament
0.4%
Iran
Elo rating
1790
Confederation
AFC
Advance from group
71.5%
Reach Round of 16
34.5%
Reach Quarter-final
14.2%
Reach Semi-final
5.6%
Reach Final
2.2%
Win tournament
0.8%
New Zealand
Elo rating
1600
Confederation
OFC
Advance from group
39.0%
Reach Round of 16
12.9%
Reach Quarter-final
3.4%
Reach Semi-final
0.8%
Reach Final
0.2%
Win tournament
0.0%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Belgium vs Egypt
Elo: 1960 vs 1750 (diff: +210)
Belgium vs Iran
Elo: 1960 vs 1790 (diff: +170)
Belgium vs New Zealand
Elo: 1960 vs 1600 (diff: +360)
Egypt vs Iran
Elo: 1750 vs 1790 (diff: -40)
Egypt vs New Zealand
Elo: 1750 vs 1600 (diff: +150)
Iran vs New Zealand
Elo: 1790 vs 1600 (diff: +190)