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Group F

Netherlands -3
Elo rating
1990
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
83.5%
Reach Round of 16
46.9%
Reach Quarter-final
29.0%
Reach Semi-final
16.8%
Reach Final
9.2%
Win tournament
4.9%
Japan +3
Elo rating
1880
Confederation
AFC
Advance from group
74.9%
Reach Round of 16
34.7%
Reach Quarter-final
18.0%
Reach Semi-final
8.7%
Reach Final
4.0%
Win tournament
1.8%
Sweden +18
Elo rating
1820
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
94.7%
Reach Round of 16
39.9%
Reach Quarter-final
19.0%
Reach Semi-final
8.1%
Reach Final
3.3%
Win tournament
1.3%
Tunisia -18
Elo rating
1750
Confederation
CAF
Advance from group
20.4%
Reach Round of 16
7.2%
Reach Quarter-final
2.9%
Reach Semi-final
1.1%
Reach Final
0.4%
Win tournament
0.1%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Netherlands vs Japan
Elo: 1990 vs 1880 (diff: +110)
Netherlands vs Sweden
Elo: 1990 vs 1820 (diff: +170)
Netherlands vs Tunisia
Elo: 1990 vs 1750 (diff: +240)
Japan vs Sweden
Elo: 1880 vs 1820 (diff: +60)
Japan vs Tunisia
Elo: 1880 vs 1750 (diff: +130)
Sweden vs Tunisia
Elo: 1820 vs 1750 (diff: +70)