Working…

Group E

Germany +10
Elo rating
1965
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
99.4%
Reach Round of 16
59.5%
Reach Quarter-final
32.0%
Reach Semi-final
18.2%
Reach Final
9.5%
Win tournament
4.9%
Curacao -10
Elo rating
1640
Confederation
CONCACAF
Advance from group
19.3%
Reach Round of 16
6.2%
Reach Quarter-final
1.9%
Reach Semi-final
0.6%
Reach Final
0.1%
Win tournament
0.0%
Ivory Coast +21
Elo rating
1780
Confederation
CAF
Advance from group
91.6%
Reach Round of 16
39.8%
Reach Quarter-final
15.4%
Reach Semi-final
6.4%
Reach Final
2.4%
Win tournament
0.9%
Ecuador -21
Elo rating
1830
Confederation
CONMEBOL
Advance from group
54.1%
Reach Round of 16
25.5%
Reach Quarter-final
11.3%
Reach Semi-final
4.9%
Reach Final
2.0%
Win tournament
0.8%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Germany vs Curacao
Elo: 1965 vs 1640 (diff: +325)
Germany vs Ivory Coast
Elo: 1965 vs 1780 (diff: +185)
Germany vs Ecuador
Elo: 1965 vs 1830 (diff: +135)
Curacao vs Ivory Coast
Elo: 1640 vs 1780 (diff: -140)
Curacao vs Ecuador
Elo: 1640 vs 1830 (diff: -190)
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Elo: 1780 vs 1830 (diff: -50)