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Group C

Brazil -4
Elo rating
2020
Confederation
CONMEBOL
Advance from group
89.9%
Reach Round of 16
54.9%
Reach Quarter-final
35.0%
Reach Semi-final
21.0%
Reach Final
11.9%
Win tournament
6.7%
Morocco +4
Elo rating
1910
Confederation
CAF
Advance from group
83.5%
Reach Round of 16
43.2%
Reach Quarter-final
23.7%
Reach Semi-final
12.0%
Reach Final
5.8%
Win tournament
2.7%
Haiti -14
Elo rating
1620
Confederation
CONCACAF
Advance from group
16.4%
Reach Round of 16
4.8%
Reach Quarter-final
1.4%
Reach Semi-final
0.4%
Reach Final
0.1%
Win tournament
0.0%
Scotland +14
Elo rating
1790
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
82.7%
Reach Round of 16
34.7%
Reach Quarter-final
15.4%
Reach Semi-final
6.3%
Reach Final
2.5%
Win tournament
0.9%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Brazil vs Morocco
Elo: 2020 vs 1910 (diff: +110)
Brazil vs Haiti
Elo: 2020 vs 1620 (diff: +400)
Brazil vs Scotland
Elo: 2020 vs 1790 (diff: +230)
Morocco vs Haiti
Elo: 1910 vs 1620 (diff: +290)
Morocco vs Scotland
Elo: 1910 vs 1790 (diff: +120)
Haiti vs Scotland
Elo: 1620 vs 1790 (diff: -170)