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Group B

Canada -1
Elo rating
1800
Confederation
CONCACAF
Advance from group
70.3%
Reach Round of 16
35.0%
Reach Quarter-final
14.8%
Reach Semi-final
5.8%
Reach Final
2.2%
Win tournament
0.9%
Bosnia and Herzegovina +1
Elo rating
1760
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
66.2%
Reach Round of 16
30.8%
Reach Quarter-final
12.2%
Reach Semi-final
4.3%
Reach Final
1.5%
Win tournament
0.5%
Qatar +6
Elo rating
1650
Confederation
AFC
Advance from group
52.6%
Reach Round of 16
19.6%
Reach Quarter-final
6.2%
Reach Semi-final
1.8%
Reach Final
0.5%
Win tournament
0.1%
Switzerland -6
Elo rating
1880
Confederation
UEFA
Advance from group
74.6%
Reach Round of 16
42.1%
Reach Quarter-final
20.8%
Reach Semi-final
9.3%
Reach Final
4.3%
Win tournament
1.9%

Group matches (simulated probabilities)

Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
Elo: 1800 vs 1760 (diff: +40)
Canada vs Qatar
Elo: 1800 vs 1650 (diff: +150)
Canada vs Switzerland
Elo: 1800 vs 1880 (diff: -80)
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar
Elo: 1760 vs 1650 (diff: +110)
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Switzerland
Elo: 1760 vs 1880 (diff: -120)
Qatar vs Switzerland
Elo: 1650 vs 1880 (diff: -230)